In analyzing housing data today, the statistic which may be most significant to both buyers and sellers is the absorption rate of houses sold per month in a particular neighborhood or community. Simply, the number of houses sold per month is the quantity sold divided by the given period (month).
For the first quarter of 2009, there were 191 "traditional re-sale" houses sold in Alexandria, including condos, attached properties, and detached properties. The data comes from the Metropolitan Regional Information Systems (MRIS). I have conducted this analysis to focus on sales other than those of reo (bank-owned) properties and pre-foreclosure (short sale) properties.
Over time, increased sales of "traditional re-sale" houses and a 5 to 6 months supply should be a barometer of more stabilization.
Presently, the number of "Actively" listed houses in the Alexandria survey is 442, or 442 available homes for sale. With 64 houses selling per month (average), the current monthly supply "on the market" is 6.90.
As a note: A 6-month supply is referenced as an indicator of a "balanced" market. Less than a 6-month supply is a "seller's" market; more than 6 months supply would mean a "buyer's" market.
Thus, "things" could be better...but, they are not bad.
Lastly, please note that more individualized data, based on housing styles and specific neighborhoods, would generate more reliable information to any current individual buyer or seller.
(Article content solely that of Dan Bonner, 2009; data source is MRIS.)
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